FX News Today
- Stock markets traded mixed in Asia, with Chinese markets underperforming, ahead of key US jobs data today.
- Hopes that Mexico tariffs may be postponed helped Wall Street to close higher, but Vice President Pence said the US still plans to impose tariffs on Mexico next week ahead of further talks today.
- China’s central bank head sounded relaxed on the Yuan, but stressed that the PBOC still had lots of policy room if the trade war worsens.
- CSI and Shanghai Comp still lost -0.9% and -1.2% respectively and the tech heavy Shenzen Comp fell back more than 2% as Facebook announced that it will no longer preinstall its app on Huawei phones, spelling more trouble for the beleaguered tech company.
- US Stock futures around 0.1% higher and the WTI future continued to climb up from the lows seen in the wake of EIA data Wednesday and is now trading at $53.28 per barrel.
- Ahead of EU open, German trade surplus narrowed as exports slumped, while German industrial production corrected -1.9% m/m in April.
- European stock futures are moving higher, led by a 0.6% rise in the DAX futures, which also ignored the weak April numbers
Charts of the Day
- EURUSD – has been consolidating in a narrow range in the mid 1.1200s, consolidating the steep losses from 1.1306 that were seen during the London PM/NY morning session yesterday. It is expected that the Dollar would likely hold up better than the Euro in the scenario that further sustained bouts of risk aversion is seen in global markets in the months ahead, with US Treasuries offering the highest risk-free return around, regardless of prevailing market discounting of Fed rate cuts. The pair remains in a bear trend which has been evolving since early 2018. This was reaffirmed by the new two-year low that was printed last month at 1.1107. Resistance comes in at 1.1300-06 and 1.1323-25.
Main Macro Events Today
- Event of the Week – Non-Farm Payrolls (USD, GMT 12:30) – Along with Thursday’s employment data, payrolls are important in gauging how many people are employed in non-agricultural businesses. Jobs are expected to have increased in May, at 190k following a 263k increase in April. The unemployment rate should remain steady at 3.6% from April, while average hourly earnings should rise 0.3% m/m, for a y/y gain of 3.2%.
- Employment and Unemployment (CAD, GMT 12:30) – After the 106.5k surge in April employment, which notched a new all-time record 1-month gain, the Canadian unemployment rate is expected to have increased further in May.
Support and Resistance levels
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